Fantasy Football and Week 14 Picks

By Dan Rodgers

I hope everyone is ready because the fantasy football playoffs should be starting in your leagues. I am in the playoffs in all five leagues. Check out the video for more on fantasy football and some quick hits on this week's games.




Ind/Bal 16.5 I learned my lesson last week. Baltimore won't give up too much, but they probably won't do that much
Hou/Cin 3 I still have faith in Houston, especially after how badly Cincy got pounded last week
Oak/GB 11.5 The Packers can't lose, but they can't cover either as of recent
KC/NYJ 10.5 The Jets are a different team at home and shouldn't let up, I would be surprised if KC scored in the double digits SURVIVOR (10-3)
Min/Det 10 The Vikes will be able to score since Suh isn't playing... breakout game for Gerhart
NO 4/Ten Everyone says trap game, I say: big game for CJ but Brees doesn't let up
Phi/Mia 4 I said I would never pick Philly again...
NE 8/Was I don't think we will see a repeat of last week's backdoor cover
Atl 3/Car Atlanta needs this game to have any chance at the division, they want it more than Carolina
TB 3/Jax Two of the toughest teams to read because sometimes they play way above their ability and sometimes they just flat out suck
SF 4/Ari The 49ers are 10-1-1 ATS this season and they should want to knock the Cards out of the playoffs
Chi/Den 3 I think Marion Barber will be able to keep the Bears in the game; expect a big play from the defense and/or special teams
Buf/SD 7 I expect the Bolts to blow out the Bills
NYG/Dal 4.5 The biggest game of the season for the Giants, who knows if they'll show up...
Stl/Sea 10 The Rams suck

Week 1: 7-9 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 2: 10-6 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 3: 11-4-1 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 4: 9-7 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 5: 6-7 ATS 7-6 SU
Week 6: 10-3 ATS 10-3 SU
Week 7: 9-3-1 ATS 10-3 SU
Week 8: 7-6 ATS 9-4 SU
Week 9: 8-6 ATS 9-5 SU
Week 10: 9-7 ATS 9-7 SU
Week 11: 6-5-2 ATS 11-2 SU
Week 12: 8-7-1 ATS 12-4 SU
Week 13: 8-8 ATS 10-6 SU
Total: 108-78-5 ATS 133-58 SU

The Jets won't lose to KC, this is the part of the season when they usually play their best ball (not by dominating, just by winning).

This is a huge game in my pick 'em book. I am in first by a game and the three people closest to me have at least eight games different from me this week. There are three games in which I have a team and the other three took the opponent (Jets, Bears, Rams). This is obviously the most important week in the book that I've had all season. As you can see by my record, I have not been anything other than average the past couple weeks, but I am 30 games over .500 so hopefully I'll have another breakout week.

My favorite picks this week are: 49ers -4/Chargers -7

Best value: Miami -3 (+100) and Atlanta -3 (+110)

@dhrodgers52

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NFL Week 6: Paying the bills

By Dan Rodgers

OK, well that warning in the last post about a last week was coincidentally in reference to last week. It was one of the worst football weeks of my entire life.

The Giants started the party by sucking against a team that is so terrible on the road, it's ALMOST a guaranteed win for their opponents. The Seahawks this season, before the Giants game, were 2-0 ATS at home and 0-2 ATS on the road. But that trend isn't just this season, they have been known for being terrible on the road and competitive at home. But of course, since I picked the Giants in every way possible, they lost...

Joining the party were the two backdoor covers in the late games. New England and San Diego both kicked late field goals in their respective games to cover the spread, if you got it late in the week. The Pats opened at -9.5 and won by 9, but they closed at -7. The Chargers were -6 to open the week, but closed at 4.5 and they won by 5. So basically, it was just a whole big mess.

In terms of the headline, "Paying the bills," is in reference to my need to pay my bills. Usually, I am beyond against it, but I am working during the early games this Sunday. The Ravens (girlfriend's team) don't play until 4 and the Jets play MNF. *I know, bring on the boos

So you'll get a video right now for Sunday and I'll throw in some college:



These are my picks for now, but I'm going to review them tonight or tomorrow and possibly make some changes so check back.

Stl/GB 14 I have a new rule to always take the underdog in a double-digit spread, but the exception is if the favorite is undefeated...
Jax/Pit 12 The Steelers aren't undefeated (see above)
Phi 1.5/Was I have to give the Eagles a shot... they lose here and they're done
SF/Det 4 San Fran is playing very well, but I think the Lions can take care of business at home
Car/Atl 4 While Carolina covers all the time, I think Matty Ice will get back on track at home
Ind/Cin 7 The Bengals are way more than 7 points better than Indy... especially at home
Buf/NYG 3 I hate the Giants, but they should rebound at home
Hou/Bal 7.5 The Ravens catch Houston without Andre and Mario...plus Schaub is banged up SURVIVOR (4-1)
Cle/Oak 6.5 Oakland had an emotional win last week and they will have another one at home this week
Dal/NE 6.5 Dallas has a good enough offense to keep up with New England...possible upset but not likely
NO 4.5/TB I LOVE THE SAINTS IN THIS GAME! Tampa might not be as good as everyone thought... the Saints will show that
Min/Chi 3 Interesting game...if Chicago's defense can't get back on track Minnesota can take this SU and AP will have a field day
Mia/NYJ 7 The Jets must win to stay alive and they will cover if Brandon Marshall stays true to his word on getting ejected

Week 1: 7-9 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 2: 10-6 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 3: 11-4-1 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 4: 9-7 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 5: 6-7 ATS 7-6 SU
Total: 43-33-1 ATS 53-24 SU

Survivor: I know I got knocked out because of the stupid Giants, but if you're still in, now is the time to take the Ravens. They are a solid favorite and facing a Texans team that is very beat up and missing two of their best players. Baltimore should be able to capitalize in a big way.

Week 6 bold prediction: Should be a big week for the favorites...at least 10 of them cover

Twitter: @dhrodgers52

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Sports Video Blog: NFL Week 4: On a roll

By Dan Rodgers

OK, we enter this week on a roll in picks and fantasy, so let's keep it going. Finally, I have another video for you.

There are a lot of great games this week and a few that should be blowouts...but remember: Any Given Sunday

Det/Dal 1.5 Strange spread, Detroit is better team...look for points - Det SU
NO 8/Jax Saints should absolutely destroy them, look for over 30 points from NO
SF/Phi 9.5 San Fran has been playing well, Eagles need this one badly - Philly SU
Was 2.5/Stl The Rams aren't as bad as last week showed - St. Louis SU
Ten 1.5/Cle Cleveland should take care of business at home - Cleveland SU
Buf 4/Cin UPSET SPECIAL! Cincy SU
Min 3.5/KC KC finally has a decent week at home - Kansas City SU
Car/Chi 7 If all is right in the world, Chicago will blow them out...
Pit/Hou 3.5 If Pittsburgh plays like they did last week, Schaub will throw for over 400
Atl 6/Sea Seattle sun isn't hot enough to melt Matty Ice
NYG 3/Ari Hate this game...
Mia/SD 7 San Diego is just plain better, and at home... SURVIVOR PICK (3-0)
Den/GB 13 Super Bowl champs should win by at least 20 points
NE 6/Oak Possible upset...Brady is out for blood though... NE SU
NYJ/Bal 3.5 Should be a 3-point game in either direction... Ravens SU
Ind/TB 10 Freeman finally breaks out this year and his fantasy owners celebrate a comeback win

Week 1: 7-9 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 2: 10-6 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 3: 11-4-1 ATS 10-6 SU
Total: 28-19-1 ATS 33-15 SU



SURVIVOR: I've been cutting it close with survivor, but in my mind, that's what has to be done... I got away with the Titans last week even though they played terribly and CJ2K has yet to break out. I think San Diego is too good to lose at home to a miserably 0-3 Miami team. Rivers is going to be looking to have a big bounce back week after struggling big time last week against KC. I like the Chargers to cover the spread but I'm not too confident in that. Miami has kept it close the past three weeks.

Fantasy Review: I have been tearing it up in fantasy football thus far. In the leagues that matter, I am: 3-0, 3-0, 2-0-1, 2-1, 1-2... So as you can see, I am only struggling in one league. In that league, I have Arian Foster (finally playing this week) and Rashard Mendenhall (disappointment thus far). In the other leagues, I have a mix of players like: Ray Rice (2 leagues), Matt Forte (2), Roddy White (2), Calvin Johnson (2), Mike Wallace (1), Jermichael Finley (3), Vernon Davis (1), Andre Johnson (1).

So as you can tell, I have a ton of players that have been playing really well this season and this is just to name a few. If you aren't yet convinced of my ability, ask me questions about picks or fantasy...let me prove it to you.

Week 4 bold prediction: At least 8 road teams will win this week

Remember, follow me on Twitter: @dhrodger52

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Sports Video Blog: NFL Week One: United We Stand

By Dan Rodgers

In this video I talk briefly about a few more fantasy teams and then go into today and tomorrow's games.

Before I get into more, I want to take a second to write about 9/11. Today is the 10-year anniversary, and we are lucky enough to have football (and baseball) today. If not for the men and women that risk their lives, we wouldn't have football, or fantasy football, or anything involving this game we love. We need to always remember those that lost their lives 10 years ago, and I hope you remember this while you're cheering for boys. Respect, first, and foremost.



Below are the games, away team is one the left and home team is on the right. The team is favored if the spread is next to them. PK denotes there is no spread and you pick the game straight up. The bold teams are my picks.

Pit/Bal PK
Atl 2.5/Chi
Cin/Cle 7.5
Ind/Hou 9
Ten/Jax PK
Buf/KC 5.5
Phi 4.5/Stl
Det/TB PK
Car/Ari 7.5 SURVIVOR PICK (0-0)
Min/SD 8.5
Sea/SF 5.5
NYG 3/Was
Dal/NYJ 6
NE 7.5/Mia
Oak/Den 3

Enjoy the games, remember 9/11, follow me on Twitter: @dhrodgers52, good luck in fantasy...

Rodgers That

Sports Video Blog: NFC QBs by Division

By Dan Rodgers

Below you should find my video on NFC QBs. Like in the AFC video, I break down each division and the quarterback situation for each team.




Coming soon: My fantasy teams from my upcoming drafts.

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Sports Video Blog: AFC QBs by Division

By Dan Rodgers

OK, this has been a summer from hell for me. I know that is no excuse but I promise I will pick up the pace. I have two videos to post that I did last week. I will do NFC QBs as soon as possible and get that posted as well.







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Sports Video Blog: NFL Chaos and Then Some

By Dan Rodgers

I haven't written anything in between, but I'll get to it. The NFL has been hectic recently and the video discusses that, along with the Pirates v. Braves debacle, and a tip of the cap to Tim Tebow.





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Sports Video Blog, Debut

By Dan Rodgers

This video is just an introduction and isn't too organized. In future videos I will get more specific.





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