Saturday, December 17, 2011

NFL Week 15 Picks

By Dan Rodgers

Well, I nailed Atlanta on Thursday night and Dallas looks good tonight. 2-0 is not a bad way to start the week before getting to Sunday.

I am out of town visiting family so I'm just going to post the lines and my picks and not get in to much else.

Was/NYG 6.5 The Skins suck, but they will play the Giants tough. NY SU
GB 13.5/KC The Jets beat KC by four possessions and there is no reason for the Packers to do less than that
NO 7/Min I can't quite figure out why this spread is only a touchdown, but I'll take it...
Sea/Chi 3.5 Clearly Chicago isn't at all good without Cutler and/or Forte, Seattle will at least keep it close if not pull this one out
Car/Hou 6 I have faith in T.J. Yates
Ten 7/Ind The Titans must be pissed about last week and the Colts are beyond lucky they covered last week
Cin 7/Stl Sources say Kellen Clemens is starting for the Rams, and you know Cincy will play their hearts out considering the heartbreaking loss last week (SURVIVOR 11-3)
Mia/Buf 1.5 I have no comment on this game...
Det 1/Oak The Lions are the better team and the Packers really exposed Oakland's defense
NE 7.5/Den I think that New England's defense is bad enough and Denver's defense is good enough to keep this game within a touchdown, but the Pats probably win
NYJ/Phi 3 I can't believe the Jets are underdogs... I love them in this spot
Cle/Ari 6.5 Cleveland is just a terrible team and Arizona is playing well, let's see how they respond as favorites
Bal 3/SD Flying across the country is always tough and Ravens don't do it well. See Seattle game earlier this season
Pit/SF 1 If Big Ben doesn't play, San Fran should take care of business

Week 1: 7-9 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 2: 10-6 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 3: 11-4-1 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 4: 9-7 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 5: 6-7 ATS 7-6 SU
Week 6: 10-3 ATS 10-3 SU
Week 7: 9-3-1 ATS 10-3 SU
Week 8: 7-6 ATS 9-4 SU
Week 9: 8-6 ATS 9-5 SU
Week 10: 9-7 ATS 9-7 SU
Week 11: 6-5-2 ATS 11-2 SU
Week 12: 8-7-1 ATS 12-4 SU
Week 13: 8-8 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 14: 9-6-1 ATS 12-4 SU
Total: 117-84-6 ATS 145-62 SU

I love Arizona and Cincy this week... I also like Green Bay and New Orleans, but you will have to make a judgement call on whether their offenses will be on full blast.

Rodgers That

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Reppin' 716

By Dan Rodgers

The New York Knicks have been busy in this brief time since the agreement of the new CBA. They pulled a deal with the defending champion Dallas Mavericks to get Tyson Chandler. One new clause in the CBA is called the "Amnesty Clause." Over the length of the deal (10 years), every team can cut one player without any of the usual financial repercussions to the salary cap, etc. The Knicks already used their amnesty on point guard Chauncey Billups (who has since been claimed by the Los Angeles Clippers). Billups was due over $14 million this season.

The New Orleans Hornets have been attempting to deal Chris Paul to any Los Angeles team, but the league (David Stern) apparently doesn't want Paul to go to L.A. There have been rumors linking Paul to the Knicks but nothing as of recent.

The Knicks made another temporary fix by signing Mike Bibby, who will likely split time with Toney Douglas. Second-year shooting guard Landry Fields will try to build off of successful first half last season, and the Knicks brought in more youth at guard by drafting former Georgia Tech shooting guard Iman Shumpert.

Of course, all of these signings are to complement superstars Carmelo Anthony and Amar'e Stoudemire. If you haven't gotten the title yet: Melo is No. 7, Amar'e is No. 1 and TC is No. 6.

The Knicks made the playoffs last season but were swept by the Celtics. Now, with a revamped frontcourt, and a good mix of youth and experience at guard, the Knicks are hoping to battle it out with the Heat, Celtics, and Bulls to represent the Eastern Conference. The Hawks usually compete but they just aren't good enough. However, if the soon-to-be Brooklyn Nets keep Deron Williams and can workout a deal for Dwight Howard, they will more than likely contend.

It should be a crazy 66-game season, and I can't wait.

Rodgers That

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Sunday, December 11, 2011

Fantasy Football and Week 14 Picks

By Dan Rodgers

I hope everyone is ready because the fantasy football playoffs should be starting in your leagues. I am in the playoffs in all five leagues. Check out the video for more on fantasy football and some quick hits on this week's games.




Ind/Bal 16.5 I learned my lesson last week. Baltimore won't give up too much, but they probably won't do that much
Hou/Cin 3 I still have faith in Houston, especially after how badly Cincy got pounded last week
Oak/GB 11.5 The Packers can't lose, but they can't cover either as of recent
KC/NYJ 10.5 The Jets are a different team at home and shouldn't let up, I would be surprised if KC scored in the double digits SURVIVOR (10-3)
Min/Det 10 The Vikes will be able to score since Suh isn't playing... breakout game for Gerhart
NO 4/Ten Everyone says trap game, I say: big game for CJ but Brees doesn't let up
Phi/Mia 4 I said I would never pick Philly again...
NE 8/Was I don't think we will see a repeat of last week's backdoor cover
Atl 3/Car Atlanta needs this game to have any chance at the division, they want it more than Carolina
TB 3/Jax Two of the toughest teams to read because sometimes they play way above their ability and sometimes they just flat out suck
SF 4/Ari The 49ers are 10-1-1 ATS this season and they should want to knock the Cards out of the playoffs
Chi/Den 3 I think Marion Barber will be able to keep the Bears in the game; expect a big play from the defense and/or special teams
Buf/SD 7 I expect the Bolts to blow out the Bills
NYG/Dal 4.5 The biggest game of the season for the Giants, who knows if they'll show up...
Stl/Sea 10 The Rams suck

Week 1: 7-9 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 2: 10-6 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 3: 11-4-1 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 4: 9-7 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 5: 6-7 ATS 7-6 SU
Week 6: 10-3 ATS 10-3 SU
Week 7: 9-3-1 ATS 10-3 SU
Week 8: 7-6 ATS 9-4 SU
Week 9: 8-6 ATS 9-5 SU
Week 10: 9-7 ATS 9-7 SU
Week 11: 6-5-2 ATS 11-2 SU
Week 12: 8-7-1 ATS 12-4 SU
Week 13: 8-8 ATS 10-6 SU
Total: 108-78-5 ATS 133-58 SU

The Jets won't lose to KC, this is the part of the season when they usually play their best ball (not by dominating, just by winning).

This is a huge game in my pick 'em book. I am in first by a game and the three people closest to me have at least eight games different from me this week. There are three games in which I have a team and the other three took the opponent (Jets, Bears, Rams). This is obviously the most important week in the book that I've had all season. As you can see by my record, I have not been anything other than average the past couple weeks, but I am 30 games over .500 so hopefully I'll have another breakout week.

My favorite picks this week are: 49ers -4/Chargers -7

Best value: Miami -3 (+100) and Atlanta -3 (+110)

@dhrodgers52

Rodgers That

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