Saturday, December 24, 2011

NFL Week 16 Picks and Fantasy Championships

By Dan Rodgers

Well, I hope you're ready for some Saturday football. Let's jump right into the picks and I'll talk about fantasy after them.

Oak/KC 2.5 The Chiefs are fighting for the slim playoff lives... I think they pull this one out
Den 3/Buf The Bills have to be upset at the way they are finishing a season that looked so promising... I'm sure they will get up to play Tebow and be a spoiler BUF SU
Jax/Ten 7 Two really bad games in a row for the Titans, but it shouldn't matter who starts at QB. However, if your rookie is playing well, why not start him?
Pit 16/Stl With Charlie Batch starting, I think the Rams can keep this game within two touchdowns
Ari/Cin 4 Everyone thinks this is a trap game for Cincinnati, but I think they will be prepared because a loss would be devastating to their playoff dreams
Mia/NE 9.5 Now this is a trap game. Miami has been playing much better of late on both sides of the ball, and I look for Reggie Bush to have a huge game. Upset Alert
Cle/Bal 12.5 The Ravens owned the Browns last time and only won by 14. Cleveland has been playing well against the run since giving up 200+ to Rice and I think they stick around
NYG/NYJ 3 "The Fight Before Christmas"
Min/Was 6.5 We'll see if the Skins can put together two complete games in a row...
TB/Car 7.5 I hate that extra half point... and this is a divisional game... but TB is awful
SD/Det 2 The Lions are win and in today... I think they'll make it happen
SF 2/Sea A lot of people think this is a trap and I can't believe the line is so low after what SF did on MNF... the 49ers need to win this game to have a chance at a bye so I think they'll give it everything they've got
Phi/Dal 1.5 Since I have the Jets winning, the Eagles will certainly get up for this one... and win outright
Chi/GB 12 I originally had Chicago but I decided they are just too bad with Cutler and Forte gone...
Atl/NO 6.5 Five of the last six games between these two teams were decided by four points or less

Week 1: 7-9 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 2: 10-6 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 3: 11-4-1 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 4: 9-7 ATS 13-3 SU
Week 5: 6-7 ATS 7-6 SU
Week 6: 10-3 ATS 10-3 SU
Week 7: 9-3-1 ATS 10-3 SU
Week 8: 7-6 ATS 9-4 SU
Week 9: 8-6 ATS 9-5 SU
Week 10: 9-7 ATS 9-7 SU
Week 11: 6-5-2 ATS 11-2 SU
Week 12: 8-7-1 ATS 12-4 SU
Week 13: 8-8 ATS 10-6 SU
Week 14: 9-6-1 ATS 12-4 SU
Week 15: 7-7-2 ATS 10-6 SU
Total: 124-91-8 ATS 155-68 SU

It's fantasy championship time in most leagues. If you aren't yet convinced, I made the playoffs in all five leagues and the championship in three leagues.

Unfortunately, I have Stafford and McCoy in one league and I'm facing them in another. If you think I must have had great drafts and not had any injuries, you are definitely wrong. I made a trade in one league: I traded Romo, Dez Bryant and Ray Rice for Stafford, LeSean McCoy, and Jordy Nelson. McCoy is having an MVP season and Stafford gives me a nice combo with Calvin Johnson. Not to mention, in that league I have Forte who recently got hurt and has been out and is still out. I had Mark Ingram on the bench but he's been hurt as well. I was able to pick up Roy Helu, who is been OK, but a Mike Shanahan running back is never a sure thing. Thankfully, my team is just so all-around good, I haven't had to worry about that... yet.

In another league, I've had QB issues all season and been going back and forth between Mark Sanchez and Andy Dalton. I also have Forte in that league, but I still have Rice and Ryan Mathews. However, there is a flex spot that has always been some crazy player for me. Today I have Kahlil Bell, the Bears third-string running back who is starting because of injury. I also have Roddy White and Antonio Gates, and I've been going back and forth on who to start today between Jeremy Maclin and Malcom Floyd. I'm leaning towards Floyd.

I have no idea how I made the championship in this last league. My starting QBs are Josh Freeman and Carson Palmer. My receivers are very good with Roddy White and Marques Colston, and my running backs have been hot recently: Chris Johnson and Ryan Mathews. Willis McGahee has been a pleasant surprise in the flex spot, and 49ers defense has played a huge role this season for me.

I know my stuff for fantasy football, but I will tell you that it has a lot to do with luck. In the first round of the playoffs, both teams in the other match-up scored more than my team and my opponent. However, I've come through in the end and hopefully I can bring at least one championship home. I hope you're rooting for me.

Rodgers That

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